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Sevilla 2013... Searching for balance |
Balance.
That’s
what it’s about for Sevilla this season.
After
a summer of upheaval and balancing of the books, Sevilla now has to balance the
eternally high expectations of their Sevillitas
with the reality of a quality sapped squad.
This
is Sevilla’s current truth.
Gone
are the days when they were a Champions League club eliciting nervous behind-the-shoulder
glances from Spain’s big two, Real Madrid and Barcelona. As BSports’ projections
confirm, Sevilla’s challenge in 2013/14 is simply to make La Liga’s top eight.
For
Sevilla fans, and La Liga followers in general, it is part of a worrying trend
– the rich are getting richer and the poor, very poor. With Real and Barcelona hoarding
46.6 percent of the league’s TV revenue (roughly €140 million), two leagues have
emerged within La Liga.
Unlike
for Real and Barcelona, life for the rest of the division is a delicate
compromise between sporting goals and financial survival, and the consequence has
been the fall of several potential challengers to the big two.
Sevilla
is one such club that has fallen by the wayside. After back-to-back Uefa Cup
titles in 2006 and 2007 and consecutive Champions League qualifications from
2008 to 2010, the
last two years have been a
struggle for the AndalucĂa club.
For
the past two seasons Sevilla has limped into ninth place, gaining 50 points on
both occasions – the club’s worst total since their return to La Liga in 2001.
For
flamboyant president Jose Maria del Nido the solution this summer has been to
sell players, trim the financial fat and source less costly replacements.
In
all 18 players have left Sevilla so far, including Alvaro Negredo and Jesus
Navas who joined Manchester City for a combined fee of €45 million.
Of
the €82 million recouped on transfers, €29 million has been used on 15 signings
as Sevilla not only looks to improve on a disappointing 2012/13 campaign but plot
its way out of a worrying slump.
Transfers
Players In
|
Raul
Rusescu
|
Steaua
Bucharest
|
Jairo
|
Racing
Santander
|
Beto
|
Braga
|
Marko
Marin
|
Chelsea
(loan)
|
Vitolo
|
Las
Palmas
|
Nicolas
Pareja
|
Spartak
Moscow
|
Carlos
Bacca
|
Club
Brugge
|
Daniel
Carriço
|
Reading
|
Diogo
Figueiras
|
Paços
de Ferreira
|
Kevin
Gameiro
|
Paris
Saint-Germain
|
Stephane
Mbia
|
QPR
(loan)
|
Sebastian
Cristoforo
|
Penarol
|
Vicente
Iborra
|
Levante
|
Players Out
|
Andres
Palop
|
Bayer
Leverkusen
|
Antonio
Luna
|
Aston
Villa
|
Luis
Alberto
|
Liverpool
|
Bernardo
Espinosa
|
Sporting
Gijon
|
Emir
Spahic
|
Bayer
Leverkusen
|
Jesus
Navas
|
Manchester
City
|
Manu
del Moral
|
Elche
|
Miroslav
Stevanovic
|
Elche
|
Lautaro
Acosta
|
Club
Atletico Lanus
|
José
Campaña
|
Crystal
Palace
|
Alvaro
Negredo
|
Manchester
City
|
Hiroshi
Ibusuki
|
Valencia
Mestalla
|
Alberto
Botia
|
Elche
(loan)
|
Gary
Medel
|
Cardiff
City
|
Geoffrey
Kondogbia
|
Monaco
|
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Glory days... Sevilla lift the second of their back-to-back Uefa Cup titles (2007) |
It
won’t be easy, though.
For
a start, Sevilla has lost its two best players.
Negredo,
the club’s top scorer since joining four years ago, is gone.
His
boots will be difficult to fill.
Last
season Negredo scored 25 of Sevilla’s 53 league goals, equating to 43% of the
team’s goals – the joint-highest ratio in Europe’s top five leagues (alongside
PSG’s Zlatan Ibrahmovic).
Navas,
who became a club symbol and a main attacking outlet with his pace and skill
during his decade's service, is also departed. Last season, Navas averaged 1.7 dribbles
per game, the eighth most in La Liga, and 2.1 key passes per game, bettered
only by eight players. To better illustrate his importance; 40 percent of
Sevilla’s attacks last season came down the right flank.
Attack Side
|
Left
|
Middle
of the pitch
|
Right
|
|
34%
|
26%
|
40%
|
It's
not just the departures of Negredo and Navas that's causing headaches. Fellow top
performers Luis Alberto, Antonio Luna, Jose Campana and Gary Medel have also joined
the Premiership exodus heading to Liverpool, Aston Villa, Crystal Palace and
Cardiff City respectively while Geoffrey Kondogbia, a star of France’s recent
Fifa Under-20 World Cup win, has signed for Monaco. It is, for all intents and
purposes, a considerable nose bleed.
To
stop it Sevilla has gone for the low-priced, potential-based buys typical of the
model sporting director Manuel ‘Monchi’ Rodriguez has masterminded since his
arrival at the club in 2002.
Marko
Marin has joined on a season long-loan from Chelsea while other highly-rated
prospects Vitolo, Jairo and Sebastian Cristoforo have been added on the cheap
from Las Palmas, Racing Santander and Penarol.
Around
€13 million has been spent on strikers Carlos Bacca (from Club Brugge) and PSG’s
Kevin Gameiro to replace Negredo while Cameroon midfielder Stephane Mbia has
joined on loan from QPR to replace Kondogbia.
Once
again Sevilla are banking on a strategy that has unleashed talents such as Dani
Alves, Luis Fabiano and Seydou Keita. But, as with any gamble, immediate return
on investment is not guaranteed.
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Gone... The jewel of Seville, Jesus Navas |
Achieving
Balance
Sevilla’s
goals to achieve balance need to extend to the field as well.
For
one, Sevilla needs better balance between their home and away form. Sevilla’s
home has always been their strength but last season the disparity was alarming
with 40 of Sevilla’s 50 points coming at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.
It's
a concern. Sevilla’s record of 10 points on their travels was the joint-worst alongside
Celta Vigo and relegated Real Mallorca while their only away win was over relegated
Deportivo La Coruna last September.
So,
in spite of a home record bettered only by Barcelona, Real Madrid, Atletico
Madrid and Valencia, Sevilla only finished 13 points above the relegation zone.
A
simple reason for Sevilla’s away struggles was a lack of balance between attack
and defence.
Last
season Sevilla’s offence was ok. Despite their below-par campaign Sevilla – as
is traditionally the case – still ranked high in average possession, pass
accuracy and shots per game.
Possession
|
Barcelona
|
69%
|
Rayo
Vallecano
|
58%
|
Athletic
Bilbao
|
56.6%
|
Real
Madrid
|
55.7%
|
Sevilla
|
53.4%
|
Pass Accuracy
|
Barcelona
|
89.5%
|
Real
Madrid
|
81.7%
|
Valencia
|
80.5%
|
Malaga
|
80.1%
|
Sevilla
|
79.5%
|
Shots Per Game
|
Real
Madrid
|
18.7
|
Valencia
|
14.9
|
Rayo
Vallecano
|
14.9
|
Real
Sociedad
|
14.7
|
Sevilla
|
14.5
|
Stats
via WhoScored
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The Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan... Red, loud and crazy |
Sevilla’s
Achilles Heel, however, has always been at the other end; and over the past two
seasons it has been amplified. Worryingly, a lack of depth, experience and
quality in defence remains un-addressed.
Federico
Fazio is prone to errors and lacks pace. New signing Nicolas Pareja is out for
up to two months. Israel Puerto, a Spain Under-20 international and Sevilla
youth product, is promising but raw. Daniel Carrico, on loan from Reading, had
a solid pre-season but he’s set to be sidelined until October and, because of injuries,
new midfield signing Vicente Iborra has already had to fill-in at the back.
Glimpses
of Sevilla’s defensive fragility have already been seen - in the side’s league
opener at home to Atletico Madrid where Sevilla lost 3-1, despite enjoying 63
percent of possession, because lapses in defence.
The
Outlook
This
is the state of affairs Unai Emery has to work with in what is his first full
season in charge.
Emery,
as he does, worked wonders after taking over from Michel in January. Finding Sevilla
just six points clear of the relegation zone, he steadied the ship and guided
the club up to ninth. For the most part it wasn’t exciting but it was effective,
and Emery managed to give the team an identity it lacked under his predecessor.
Nevertheless,
instead of building on a promising first six months there is more evolution to
face.
Much,
then, will depend the club’s established players such as JosĂ© Antonio Reyes, Piotr
Trochowski, Coke and Ivan Rakitic.
Rakitic,
in particular, is central to Sevilla’s chances. The Croatia midfielder was one
of La Liga’s top performers in 2012/13 scoring eight goals and adding 10
assists, the joint-fourth highest assists total last season. Rakitic also
averaged an impressive 2.9 key passes a game, the highest mark in La Liga. His
intelligence and ball retention are crucial to the methodical style Emery
prefers.
Ivan Rakitic 2013/14
La Liga Stats
|
Appearances
|
34
|
Goals
|
8
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Assists
|
10
|
Shots
per games
|
1.8
|
Key
passes per game
|
2.9
|
Dribbles
per game
|
0.6
|
Dispossessed
per game
|
1.3
|
Turnovers
per game
|
1
|
|
Thumbs up for Ivan! Ivan Rakitic holds the key to Sevilla's season |
New
addition Marin has also quickly become crucial to Emery’s famed tactical
fluidity. So far this season the German has been used the support to the
central striker and Marin has shown the ability to either drop deep to give
Sevilla a 4-2-3-1 shape or push higher up, alongside the centre-forward, to
make it 4-4-2.
Conclusion
Emery
has clearly been headhunted for his record of achieving success on a tight budget
(see Almeria and Valencia) and his ability to nurture underrated players, such
as Roberto Soldado, to superstardom.
However,
it may be a few seasons before Sevilla can challenge for Champions League spots
again.
What's
most important now for Sevilla now stability (Emery is Sevilla’s sixth coach in
three years).
Eighth-place
sounds about the best the the
AndalucĂans
can
hope for in 2013/14.
For
this season it’s all about Sevilla’s quest for balance.
Originally written: 2 September, 2013 for BSports StatsInsights